In five years, Java EE will be the CORBA of the 21st Century

Richard Monson-Haefel is a noted J2EE author, in this article he says:

In five years, Java EE will be the CORBA of the 21st Century. People will look at it and say, 'It had its time but nobody uses it any more because it was too complicated.

The article has caused (of course) quite a stir at places like theserverside.com but, given that Richard is renowned in the EJB world, I think this is a real blow to the J2EE proposal.