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Post-iTunes 4.9 release downloading surge yields some negative results for podcasters

Leave it to Apple to once again shake up the world.

Many of my friends in the podcasting community have written me, extolling their happiness about being listed in the iTunes 4.9 podcast directory and as a result, getting a ton of downloads for their digital audio content.  In the same breath, many of these champions of time-shifted information lament the fact that since the directory isn't abundantly populated (relatively speaking at the time of this writing), they're getting a lot of traffic from first-time podcast listeners and Mac enthusiasts just discovering the platform, severely taxing what is characteristically metered data transfer through a third-party host provider.

And all this due, in part, to listeners who may not really want to listen to a podcaster's handiwork...they just subscribed because it appeared iTunes and they wanted to check out whatever was associated as being part of The Next Big Thing.  Such mass market appeal has really got the potential to exponentially broaden a podcasts's listenership, but it also impedes a content creator's ability to serve those who genuinely want to get at their stuff.

With the amount of data that can be sent across the Internet typically offered on a limited basis (often only several hundred megabytes per month), many podcast producers are finding themselves having run out of said allotted space, facing access to their media stopped for the remainder of a billing period, or applying costly overage charges - or in some cases, disconnected altogether.  I projected this inevitably happening, with most ISPs not usually allowing potentially hundreds of gigabytes of data transfer per month for a rapidly-growing audience base to access MP3s that can be quite large (a 40-minute show encoded at 64Kbps results in a download of about 20MB). 

Dr. Don, who runs the excellent Cartoon Radio Network podcast, even told me his ISP is considering dropping him outright because of the huge bandwidth load his shows are causing on their network.

Also consider what this could mean for the segment of the podcasting population that produces more than just a single show.  At the moment, I record/edit/distribute (4) such digital audio shows for KUAM, with at least (3) more coming in the near future.  The ramped-up bandwidth requirement could mean I'd be running out of server capacity four times faster than the next guy.  And in my own case, the server housing our podcastable MP3s is the same box serving my company's streaming video/audio archive, which under normal circumstances sustains a pretty intense demand and load anyway.  So while this probably won't be the scenario shared by the majority of the world's podcasters, for people like me this presents a new challenge: how to expand effective market reach while maintaining accessibility and quality.

My guess is that Liberated Syndication, a critical provider for the podcast community, is going to get inundated with signups in the coming days because that site allows for unlimited downloads of content, but a fixed amount of server storage space, to balance everything out.  (It's a great business model, and given the current and expected future fallout from recent events, what I believe will be the next-generation of AOL-like unlimited Internet access, with other similar providers following suit and coming up with creative competitive plans.)

Further, Adam Curry, in his pivotal keynote address at the end of the recent GNOMEDEX 2005, called upon developers and vendors to bring about the immediate rise in single-click subscription.  However the larger point was that Curry, the father of podcasting, also called upon the incorporation of the P2P-based BitTorrent platform into podcast delivery, so as not to too heavily impose transfer responsibilities on any single access node.  It's a great idea, and one I really support.

But for the moment, the majority of podcasters, myself included, face a daunting challenge: register with iTunes (and assumedly Microsoft's forthcoming next version of its Windows Media Player and perhaps WinAmp and RealPlayer and other major media applications sometime soon), and expand the consumer base for our podcasts, and risk restricted access and possible termination of service, or continue to operate in the underground, riding the DIY marketing engine, but having a more granular amount of control over how often our content is download.

So again, Apple's been successful at playing the role of global change agent, giving so many of the world's creative talent a forum in which to showcase their ideas and really mature their content - the "suddenly a superstar" effect.  It's just a tad frustrating going through the growing pains.

Comments

anon said:

With the amount of data that can be sent across the Internet typically offered on a limited basis (often only several hundred megabytes per month), many podcast producers are finding themselves having run out of said allotted space, facing access to their media stopped for the remainder of a billing period, or applying costly overage charges - or in some cases, disconnected altogether. I projected this inevitably happening, with most ISPs not usually allowing potentially hundreds of gigabytes of data transfer per month for a rapidly-growing audience base to access MP3s that can be quite large (a 40-minute show encoded at 64Kbps results in a download of about 20MB).


Well somebody is gonna make money.
Too much traffic will slow down the net
Its a disaster
# July 2, 2005 9:20 AM

Eric Newton said:

Another good reason for torrents... so I wonder if iTunes with its new Podcasting download support should implement a BitTorrent thread to offer the Podcast to other users without overloading the source's bandwidth... :-)
# July 2, 2005 10:44 AM

Dr. Don said:

On the first day of the Itunes upgrade we were hit with over 600 downloads on both of our shows (Cartoon Radio Network Podcast and DVD Weekly Podcast). That has tapered off to between 400 and 500, but the numbers are staggering. It is hard to believe that just a few days ago reaching your 1000th download was a cause for celebration. Now it is happening every other day!

It is truly sad that this new surge in listenership is causing some podcasters to disappear. I am already hearing of several podcasts that have been washed away in this new audience tidal wave.

But this doesn't have to be! I did a Google search and found several providers, not just Liberated Syndicate, who provide service to podcasters at a decent price ($10.00 to $20.00 a month). So before you throw in the towel, do that search and stay in the game!
# July 2, 2005 11:58 AM

Bill from Boston said:

It's good to see that not only are there other hosting solutions available, but that members of the podcasting community are making sure that others are aware of them so we don't lose out on more independent podcasters that don't have a lot of spare change to put into increased hosting charges. I hope some of the larger podcasting community sites will make this information available to a wider audience so it's not just person-to-person (or site-to-site) info.

The other interesting possibility is that this could lead to a business model that takes donations to help out with hosting charges. Will a listener be interested enough in the content and continued life of a podcast that they're willing to make donations to help keep that podcaster "on the air", so to speak? I can see how some podcasters wouldn't want to "sell out"....but I also know that there are enough podcasters out there that it might be explored. After all, in the software world, you have your freeware, your shareware, and your donationware, and all has its place.

And for the record, as pro-Apple as I can be sometimes, I still think this recent move really shafted the little guy. Not a good way to endear yourself to the content-producing masses.


# July 2, 2005 4:42 PM

Jason Salas said:

Hi Eric,

Having Apple be a BitTorrent seed is a great idea, but I think for now the company is seeing what comes out of it being a conduit for people's content marketing-wise, without being directly involved in the physicaly transmission of it.
# July 2, 2005 10:01 PM

Jason Salas said:

Hey Dr. Don,

I hate to say it...but THAT'S SHOW BIZ! Easy come, easy go. ;-)
# July 2, 2005 10:02 PM

Jason Salas said:

Hi Bill,

I'm going to have to disagree with you on the notion of people donating to keep podcasts up and running (actually, it's the notion of producers asking for donations that I find cheesy and petty). Several podcasters do this currently, and it works out nicely for some, but it's not consistently reliable.

The main drive of podcasting should be that the requisite infrastructure is inherently free or affordable enough so that anyone can get involved and bring their ideas and talents to life. We shouldn't have to rely on people's generosity to finance a show. That's where the more well-structured business models come into play, I think.

I'm more for evolving podcasting as the next generation of viable media...not public broadcasting, being wholly supported by in-kind community contributions.
# July 2, 2005 10:07 PM

Jason Salas said:

Carl Franklin from .NET Rocks! is having similar trouble: http://weblogs.asp.net/cfranklin/archive/2005/07/02/417447.aspx
# July 3, 2005 7:15 PM

Carl Franklin said:

Some Download Numbers for .NET Rocks! and Mondays:

http://weblogs.asp.net/cfranklin/archive/2005/07/04/417662.aspx
# July 4, 2005 2:52 AM

Carl Franklin said:

> I did a Google search and found several providers, not just Liberated Syndicate, who provide service to podcasters at a decent price ($10.00 to $20.00 a month). So before you throw in the towel, do that search and stay in the game! <

That 20 bucks a month doesn't cover this kind of bandwidth, no matter what they tell you on the phone. ISPs play a game of timing with their customers. They are all oversold. All of them.
# July 4, 2005 2:54 AM

Jason Salas said:

Carl's blog cites the fact that .NET Rocks! server has passed 82.5GB of data this weekend, after the iTunes migration. That's uncanny, but I totally believe it. ;-)
# July 4, 2005 3:08 AM

Jason Salas said:

Further to Carl's comments, the ont thing that's ultimately unavoidable is the decision of what to dom when you run out of server storage space. 800MB (or even potentially a couple of tens of GB) is a ton of space, but for people like me, podcasting multiple shows on a weekdaily basis, this is going to reach a point of saturation at some point.

So what to do with my archive? I'd like my audio files to be historically accessible six weeks, six months, or even six years from now. With limitations on how much I can have resident on a server, I'll have to lop off part of my archive at some point, which sucks.
# July 4, 2005 3:09 AM

Carl Franklin said:

The answer, obviously, is that Apple has to support BitTorrent, at least launching the default BT client when a .torrent is downloaded. It would be an easy fix for them to implement.
# July 4, 2005 3:19 AM

Scott said:

Why do we think BitTorrent is the answer? Because it distributes the data to other folks bandwidth, true, but something like 30% of the internet's traffic is Torrents now...that can't be a Solution.
# July 4, 2005 2:12 PM

Jason Salas said:

Hi Scott,

I'm not sure if BitTorrent is the ultimate solution, but it's the msot viable at the moment...enough people in significant roles are into it and the platform is solid enough to address the massive bandwidth requirement issues.

It's more globally applicable in the immediate future than developing/distributing a proprietary protocol that Apple and all third-party podcatcher apps will have to implement.
# July 4, 2005 5:28 PM

Jason Salas said:

This also means people like me developing custom aggregators will have to incorporate torrents into their products.

In my own case, I'm already thinking about retooling my podcatcher for smartphones running PalmOS 5 (http://weblogs.asp.net/jasonsalas/archive/2005/06/12/411900.aspx) to support BitTorrent in this light.
# July 4, 2005 6:41 PM
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