MS vs Apple: Paul Thurrott writes of the upcoming Vista marketing push: "I want you to mull over that 400 million figure for a bit. 400 million PCs. Running Windows Vista. Within 24 months. That's the business Microsoft 'competes' in. It's a completely different world from the 10 million or so people that use OS X. And that, as they say, is that." Microsoft anticipates an audience of 400 million people in 2 years, and Thurrott is impressed. Now, if only we had timely press releases on Player stats, I could cite you source material showing twice that audience (actual audience, not anticipated audience) in a quarter of the time for Flash Player 8, but as we don't, I can't. :( Still, when you're looking for predictable capabilities on Other Peoples Machines, it's pretty clear what types of platforms offer developers the most rapid evolution....
It seems that the people at Adobe/Macromedia just can't get it through their heads that the Flash player doesn't compete with the Windows OS as a platform, it competes with ASP.NET. If they want to get it up to par for desktop application development, they have a very long way to go, but they could start by making it so that you can launch a SWF file in standalone mode from explorer after you install the darn plugin on your machine.
If we are going to say that the Flash Player provides us "rapid evolution," then I guess we are going to have to say that the Windows Platform provides us "rapid revolution."