The law of small numbers..........

Frans pointed out the article about percieved Java decline.  Reading the article reminds me of the "Law of Small Numbers."  In this law, percentage changes are skewed because of the size of the population.  For example, and increase from 100 to 125 is only a 25% increase.  An increase from 25 to 50 is a 100% increase, yet the same increase occurred in both situations.  The 100% increase is somewhat misleading because the increase is based on a number that is one-fourth the size. 

Clearly there are other issues at work.  One wants to be in that first mover wave to get added benefit as the "wave" takes off, but you want to be careful and choose your waves wisely.

Wally