The award is for community contributions in the past year, so, I suppose, theoretically, you could, but you would need to make some pretty significant blog posts/volume.
I'd spend a good deal of time hanging out on msnews or asp.net/forums.
What is the Microsoft MVP award?
The Microsoft Most Valuable Professional (MVP) Award is an annual award that is given to outstanding members of Microsoft's peer-to-peer communities.
I think blogging can be considered a form of peer-to-peer community. You definitely have you name known to at least the readers of dotnetweblogs, which includes people from Microsoft. Just up your valuable posts vs your It's not fair I can't go to the PDC posts and I think you are on your way. It does take time though so don't expect it overnight.
Umm, I don't know how the MVP stuff works, but I'd assume you'd have to have a blog that the dev community finds indispensible as a source of useful technicle info. But if I put up a bunch of links to cool MSDN articles, I don't think that should count. Most of us do exactly that. Similarly, having a huge archive of blog posts shouldn't count. But hey, what do I know.
From my perspective as the MVP Lead for the WebData XML team, if all you do is blog then it is unlikely that you'll be awarded an MVP. This seems to be the current stance of the MVP Program and I heartily agree with it.
MVPs are not evangelists. The MVP award is given to people who help our customers use our technology. Sometimes the line gets a bit fuzzy, though.
But, clearly, the MVP group is growing the program outside of the traditional newsgroup base.
I didn't mean evangelizing. I meant doing the same thing that people do on newsgroups - helping with questions and helping people understand the technology.
Note: I've removed some of the comments as per a specific request, as they belonged in a spearate, private discussion.